← The Victoria Ledger
Methodology
Retail Theft — Methodology and Sources
What this measures
Recorded steal from a retail store offences in Victoria. From Vic CSA Recorded Offences Table 01, subgroup B43.
This is shoplifting — does not include retail-targeted aggravated burglary (which appears in the burglary chart) or organised retail crime ring incidents that may classify differently.
Year cadence
Year-ending-December (calendar year).
The cost-of-living surge
Retail theft jumped from 19,693 (2020) to 41,547 (2025) — more than doubling. Industry commentary attributes the surge to cost-of-living pressures plus the retreat of in-store security staffing post-COVID. The chart shows a dramatic level shift from late 2022 onwards.
Caveats
- Counts reflect reported offences — many retailers don't report low-value shoplifting, so the trend can shift partly with reporting practices, not just behaviour
- One incident can include multiple offences if charged with multiple counts