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Net Debt — Methodology and Sources

Last reviewed: 2025-05-20

What this measures

Net debt of the general government sector as reported in the Victorian Treasury's Budget Paper 2, Statement of Finances. NSW and QLD comparators use the equivalent general-government-sector measure from each state's annual budget papers.

How values are derived

ToggleField usedCalculation
Default (nominal)valueNominalDirect $bn figure as published
Inflation-adjustedvalueRealnominal × (CPI[base] / CPI[year])
Per capitavaluePerCapita(nominal × 10^9) / ERP[year, state]
Per capita + inflation-adjustedvalueRealPerCapitaper-capita applied to real value

CPI base year: 2023-24, RBA Statistical Table G1, annual financial-year average. Population: ABS Estimated Resident Population at 30 June (ABS 3101.0 / 3218.0).

Caveats

  • Net debt definition changed in FY18 for Victoria; the published series is consistent post-FY18.
  • General-government-sector excludes public non-financial corporations (PNFC). When commentators cite "Victoria's total debt" they often mean general government plus PNFC; this chart shows the narrower general-government measure for cross-state comparability.
  • Real values shift each annual refresh as the CPI base year is re-pinned to the latest complete FY. The shift is documented in the change log.

v0.1 status

This release uses hand-keyed seed values transcribed from the public Vic, NSW and QLD Treasury Budget Papers. The pipeline architecture is in place; the v1.0 release will replace seed values with automated PDF extraction (pipeline/lib/pdf.py). Verify against the latest BP before citing externally.

Sources

Annotations on this chart

  • 2019-20: COVID-19 — onset of pandemic spending, fiscal year ending 30 June 2020.
  • 2020-21: S&P downgrade AAA to AA — Standard & Poor's downgraded Victoria's long-term credit rating.
  • 2021-22: Big Build acceleration — peak year of capital programme drawdown.

Change log

DateChange
2025-05-20v0.1 initial seed values from public Treasury BPs